Bills RB C.J. Spiller's cap number is 416 percent higher than the NFL average at his position.
This all sets the table for the Bills' upcoming negotiations with Spiller, who can become a free agent after this season. Are the Bills willing to pay Spiller top-five money for his position? Or can they get by with a rotation of younger players? I think the Bills would love to have Spiller's speed and big-play ability around for several more years, but he might still need to prove that he can be the lead horse in the backfield.
That could be tough for Spiller to prove this year, especially if he can't stay healthy. Even if he does, Fred Jackson, Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown could all be in the mix for carries, and in a previous news item here at 4for4, it sure seems like Dixon is going to be the goal line and short yardage back. The writer also thinks the team wants to develop Brown as one of the lead backs. Spiller is ranked 24th among our RBs, but his ADP is the fourth round. That all equals a pretty big risk. The later you can draft Spiller, the better value he'll be.