FanDuel Week 8 GPP Breakdown

FanDuel Week 8 GPP Breakdown

By TJ Hernandez (Associate Editor), last update Oct 28, 2016

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TJ is a former full-time poker player who has been playing fantasy football for more than a decade. After online poker was outlawed, TJ ended his poker career and dedicated himself to fantasy football. His background in poker statistics and analytics translates to success in both daily and season-long fantasy football.

Follow TJ Hernandez on Twitter: @TJHernandez.

For the second week in a row, there is a clear top value at the running back position, which opens up salaries and makes rostering multiple studs a viable option. This also presents the opportunity to get very creative with lineup construction in terms of rostering players at contrarian price points.

Listen to this week’s DFS MVP podcast for a more in-depth discussion on how to handle chalk plays in large-field tournaments.

Related: FanDuel GPP Guidelines, Definitive Guide to Stacking on FanDuel

 

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers $8,800 @ ATL - This game features the highest over/under of the week (52.5) and even as underdogs, Green Bay has an implied point total of 25. Both teams rank in the top-10 in situation-neutral pace. Opponents pass 68% of the time in the red zone against Atlanta.

Matt Ryan $8,500 vs GB - The Falcons have the highest implied point total of the week at over 27 points. Tom Brady is the only quarterback with a higher touchdown rate than Matt Ryan and teams have converted 32% of red zone passes into scores against the Packers.

Russell Wilson $8,200 @ NO - Seattle has one of the highest relative implied point totals of the week, projected to  score seven points over their 18.5 PPG average this year. Wilson has only thrown a touchdown on 2.5% of his passes this year, but his career touchdown rate is 5.7% and that’s a number that tends to regress towards the mean.

Jameis Winston $7,400 vs OAK - It’s not the typical West Coast team on the East Coast, as Oakland stayed in Florida after last week’s game at Jacksonville, but it’s still a team out of its element that is projected to allow 25 points. The Raiders allow the fourth-highest fantasy points per attempt to opposing passers and Winston has accounted for 87% of Tampa Bay’s touchdowns this year.

Continue reading for more of TJ's top GPP plays.

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