Stacking the Deck: FanDuel & DraftKings Stacks for Week 7
Welcome back to Stacking the Deck.
This season at 4for4 we will be providing subscribers with Value Reports and Stack Value Reports that value every stack in terms of projected points/$. We also use our Adjusted Fantasy Points Against (aFPA) metric heavily in the column.
What’s new this year is we know have the have the advantage of putting into practice two great offseason studies from my colleague, Senior DFS Editor Chris Raybon: The Definitive Guide to Stacking on FanDuel and The Definitive Guide to Stacking on DraftKings.
I would like to note that game selection is an extremely underrated aspect of success in daily fantasy. Knowing your goals, bankroll, and realizing that tournament value can change drastically week to week is very important. I highly recommend you go back and listen to the DFS theory segment on the DFS MVP podcast from Week 4 a second time. That information is invaluable and will go a long way in making sure you are a profitable player.
We are going to focus on positive correlations in this column, but also put a higher emphasis on leverage plays in GPPs. Let's keep it rolling. The following are my top stacks for Week 7 on both FanDuel and DraftKings.
Jameis Winston ($7,500) & Mike Evans ($8,000) at SF
Quarterback and WR1 have a .45 correlation on FanDuel, the strongest of all positions. The Bucs are a slight road favorite (-2) with a moderate team total (24.5). Evans will be popular this week and for good reason, with a ceiling of 24.3 points in our projections, fourth highest on the slate at wide receiver. Pairing him with Winston will be the way to differentiate in tournaments. The Winston-Evans stack boasts the fifth-highest ceiling on the slate. San Francisco ranks 20th against quarterbacks and wide receivers in our signature metric, Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA). Chip Kelly and the 49ers run plays at the fastest pace in the league (24.04 seconds between plays) and hold the 30th lowest time of possession per game (26:10) in the league. This should bode well from a volume perspective for Evans, who already is averaging 12.4 targets per game (fifth in the NFL).
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