Streaming Tight Ends: Week 17 Targets

Dec 27, 2016

We’ve reached the tail end of the fantasy football season, and if you’re reading this, there’s a solid chance your team is still alive, fighting for that elusive championship. It’s win-or-go-home time, so it is imperative to have the best possible roster at your disposal moving forward. Is the TE you drafted, starter-worthy this week or are you better off grabbing someone off the waiver wire to get the TE1 production your team needs to survive?

The main focus of our research when looking at a TE’s matchup is 4for4’s Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) metric. As the season continues to progress and more data is available, aFPA becomes more and more reliable, using rolling 10-week data. Targets and efficiency metrics are also considered when coming up with weekly TE streamers.

Our goal in streaming is to roster a player that is going to return TE1 fantasy points, and for Week 16, my number one streamer Charles Clay, put up 28.5 PPR points, enough for TE2 on the week.

After 16 weeks of football, 4for4 streaming candidates are averaging 8.85 PPR fantasy points per game. The optimal TE streamer has a combined 217.5 PPR fantasy points, enough for TE2 on the season. On to Week 17, where those of us who are still playing, need to put it all on the table in the hopes of basking in the glory of a fantasy championship.

In order to provide advice that you can actually implement, candidates for streaming must be available in at least 40% of Yahoo fantasy leagues.

Charles Clay (BUF) @NYJ

For the third straight week, Charles Clay makes this list as my number one TE streamer. (If only I had listened to myself last week I would have won a championship, but I digress.)

Despite the fact that the Bills are mathematically eliminated from the postseason, most of the coaching staff and squad will be fighting for their jobs in Week 17, against a division rival New York Jets team with an aFPA of 14.3 PPR points versus the TE position this season. Buffalo players love their head coach, almost to a fault, so should be leaving everything on that field in Week 17 for Rex Ryan in the hopes he can retain his job at the helm next season.

Through 16 weeks, Clay is the most targeted player on this Bills roster, ahead of Robert Woods by nine total targets. Look for this to continue into Week 17, with a healthy Clay getting the majority of balls thrown his way.

Clay is currently owned by only 18% of Yahoo players, so if you need a guy in your TE spot that has been consistently putting up double digit fantasy points, he’s your guy.