Exploiting Defenses in DFS - Week 17

Exploiting Defenses in DFS - Week 17

By Mike Woellert (IDP Expert), last update Dec 31, 2015

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Mike is an IDP veteran, writing about and ranking IDP for over six season. He finished 6th in overall IDP rankings and 1st overall LB rankings in 2014 at FantasyPros. When he's not poring over IDP depth charts, he can be found agonizing over his Cleveland sports teams.

Follow Mike Woellert on Twitter: @Mike_Woellert.

When it comes to DFS lineups, looking at matchups and opportunities will be key in constructing a winning lineup. Everyone knows that Demaryius Thomas can be a top receiver and sometimes the matchup doesn't play out, like last week. Thomas is typically one of the top-priced wide receivers, but there will always be one with a cheaper price tag in a similar spot for production with a better matchup.

Week 17 can be tricky, as teams are resting players or getting a look at players that can help in the future. It’s a good idea to target players on teams that are playing for playoff positioning, as their risk is lower.

It’s one thing to look at match-ups and see which team is allowing points to a position. Each week, I’ll help you exploit specific defensive players and also touch on non-skill offensive players (read: the offensive line) to help you make the right choices on which players to roster and which players to fade in DFS lineups.

Last week we had our hits with Rueben Randle, Brandin Cooks, Jeremy Maclin and Karlos Williams. We also had our misses with Denard Robinson, Cameron Artis-Payne and Mike Evans. Let’s enjoy the wins and try to increase our hit rate even more in Week 17.


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Situations to Exploit in the Passing Game

Martavis Bryant is a big play receiver to target this week against a Browns secondary that likely will be without cornerback Tramon Williams. As of now, cornerback Pierre Desir is one of the starters and he’s allowed a 65 percent completion rate on balls thrown his way. He’s allowed 402 yards in coverage and has been responsible for two scores. Charles Gaines could also draw Bryant. Gaines has been responsible for three scores and a 66 percent completion rate. Bryant is a great play in all formats in a must-win game for Pittsburgh.

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