Streaming Tight Ends: Week 7 Targets

Streaming Tight Ends: Week 7 Targets

By TJ Hernandez (Associate Editor), last update Oct 14, 2014

TJ Hernandez's picture

TJ is a former full-time poker player who has been playing fantasy football for more than a decade. After online poker was outlawed, TJ ended his poker career and dedicated himself to fantasy football. His background in poker statistics and analytics translates to success in both daily and season-long fantasy football.

Follow TJ Hernandez on Twitter: @TJHernandez.

Process, process, process. As fantasy footballers, our goal is always to make the best decisions possible with all of the information that is available. That is our process. Once the ball flies off the tee at kickoff, there are no more decisions to make and all we can do is hope that the football gods show us favor.

When the desired results don’t match our apparently effective process, it can be tempting to trash our approach and go back to the drawing board. Fellow 4for4 Fantasy Football contributor, CD Carter, discusses trusting process over results in his recent book, “How To Think Like a Daily Fantasy Football Winner”:

“...even when the process-centric approach leads to a rough patch -- and it will -- it’s vital to resist the urge to join the dark side, the results-oriented side.

Focusing upon process frees us up from the worrying about aspects of investment which we really can’t control -- such as return. By focusing upon process we maximize our potential to generate good long-term returns. Unfortunately, focusing on process and its long-term benefits won’t necessarily help you in the short term. During periods of underperformance, the pressure always builds to change your process.”

One sentence stands out: By focusing upon process we maximize our potential to generate good long-term returns. For the TEBWW approach we will continue to focus our attention on matchups and usage trends that appear to be on the rise.

Week 6 was especially rough for tight end streamers. For the first time this season, none of our TEBWW candidates finished as a TE1, and as a group, Dwayne Allen, Heath Miller, and Owen Daniels combined for just 17.2 PPR fantasy points. Over the first 6 weeks, our TEBWW candidates are averaging 8.8 PPR FP per game. That's TE9 numbers, right around what Travis Kelce is doing. Our optimal pick is putting up 14.3 per.

Here are the tight ends I’m targeting in Week 7:


Dwayne Allen vs Cincinatti

Call me a glutton for punishment, but I can’t quit Dwayne Allen. Unfortunately for Allen owners, Coby Fleener was the recipient of the weekly tight end touchdown for Indianapolis, but most of those looks will still be Allen’s going forward. Over the last 2 weeks, Dwayne Allen is 10th among all tight ends in targets and for the season he has seen the 5th most targets inside the 10 yard line. After a poor defensive showing against Greg Olson and the Panthers, the Bengals are now tied with the Cowboys as the worst team against tight ends when adjusted for strength of schedule, allowing 20.7 PPR fantasy points per game to the position.


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