Week 5 FanDuel Optimal Plays

Week 5 FanDuel Optimal Plays

By Jonathan Bales (Daily Fantasy Expert), last update Oct 3, 2013

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Jonathan Bales is a DraftKings Pro and the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. His latest book, How to Win at Daily Fantasy Sports, is a data-driven guide to winning on DraftKings. He is also (unofficially) sponsored by GrubHub.

Follow Jonathan Bales on Twitter: @BalesFootball.

Want to know how I’ve been able to increase my bankroll in the “Staking Bales” series by 20.9 percent? I’ve gotten lucky.

But I also use the 4for4 Value Reports and the same strategies I outline in my daily fantasy book to tilt the odds in my favor. You can get both items—the 4for4 In-Season Package and my book—in this special promo. By purchasing an in-season subscription this week, you’ll be sent a digital version of the book for free. The combo is what I’ve used to profit so far in 2013, so the package should pay for itself pretty quickly.

One of the best places to start in daily fantasy, of course, is FanDuel. That’s where the majority of newbies play, so it’s a great money-making opportunity. As I’ve explained in some previous articles, I’ve been transferring more and more of my heads-up money to FanDuel because you can handpick opponents. If you don’t think that it’s fun to repeatedly dominate users who have very little experience, you just aren’t a friend of mine.

I’ve been providing my favorite value plays on FanDuel every Thursday, but today I’m going to take a look at a few players to avoid. As usual, my optimal heads-up and tournament lineups are posted at the bottom for subscribers.


Players to AVOID on FanDuel in Week 5

QB Andrew Luck vs. SEA $8600

Luck is the worst value listed in our FanDuel Value Report. He has a horrible matchup against the Seahawks, with his only saving grace, perhaps, being that he might pile up some garbage time numbers. Even with the matchup, Luck is the seventh-priciest quarterback on FanDuel—more than Tom Brady and Colin Kaepernick.


RB Stevan Ridley @CIN $6300

If you’re looking for a cheap running back to use on FanDuel, skip Ridley. The Patriots don’t seem very eager to give him much of a workload and he’s got a difficult matchup in Cincinnati. You can have Knowshon Moreno for just $300 more of even Ryan Mathews for $300 less.


WR Dwayne Bowe @TEN $6200

It’s pretty clear that the Chiefs upgraded at quarterback without it being beneficial to Bowe. Bowe isn’t a guy who will get wide open in the same way as someone like DeSean Jackson or even teammate Donnie Avery. Instead, Bowe uses his big body and ball skills to catch passes in traffic. Well, we know how Alex Smith feels about throwing into traffic. Instead look at Josh Gordon or Eric Decker in the same price range.


TE Vernon Davis vs. HOU $6900

Davis exploded in Week 1, but in his next two games, the tight end caught a total of five passes for 38 yards. He scored once on Thursday night against the Rams, but he saw only four targets in that game. He has a tough matchup against the Texans this week, but he still costs $6900—the third-most for any tight end.


FanDuel Optimal Lineups in Week 5

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