Daily Fantasy: Week 4 FanDuel Optimal Plays

Daily Fantasy: Week 4 FanDuel Optimal Plays

By Jonathan Bales (Daily Fantasy Expert), last update Sep 26, 2013

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Jonathan Bales is a DraftKings Pro and the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. His latest book, How to Win at Daily Fantasy Sports, is a data-driven guide to winning on DraftKings. He is also (unofficially) sponsored by GrubHub.

Follow Jonathan Bales on Twitter: @BalesFootball.

I profited $193.74 at FanDuel in Week 3, bringing my season profits to $412.70. Remember, I started with only $600 there, so that’s an increase of 68.8 percent in three weeks. The reason that FanDuel is such a great investment opportunity is because almost all of the new players head there. Take a look at this.

My No. 2 lineup at FanDuel scored only 111.24 points in Week 3, which is far from a great score, yet I won three of the five three-man leagues into which I entered it. I ended up profiting $44.50 in those leagues on a lineup that shouldn’t have cashed at all.

This time of the season is a great one for daily fantasy owners because you still have all of the fish on the sites, but there are newcomers every week. You can hand-pick your head-to-head leagues at FanDuel, targeting players who don’t have much experience.

Because what fun is fantasy football if we can’t single out the weak ones until they’re bankrupt? Darwin would definitely be a daily fantasy shark if he were alive today.


Value Plays

QB Terrelle Pryor vs. WSH $6300

Pryor’s Week 4 matchup against the Redskins is ideal. The Redskins have given up the second-most passing yards in the NFL, including eight touchdowns and only one pick for opposing passers. They should blitz enough that Pryor could do some major damage on the ground as well. It’s always nice to have a quarterback who can return value even if he throws for under 200 yards.


RB Bilal Powell @TEN $4700

Powell is going to see a massive workload on Sunday. At his $4700 price tag, it really doesn’t matter who the Jets are playing. Unless Powell completely flops, you’ll see enough of a return to justify playing him. And don’t forget that, due to FanDuel’s pricing, a high-low strategy is often best there.


WR DeSean Jackson @DEN $7300

The Broncos are a sneaky good opponent against whom to start receivers. They’ve given up the third most passing yards in the league through three games, for a few reasons. First, they just aren’t that good in the secondary. Second, the Broncos will almost always be up late, forcing the opposition to air it out. And third, Peyton Manning’s fast-paced offense allows for lots of plays from both teams.

The over-under on this contest is 58 points, which is just enormous. There’s a good chance that the teams combine to run 140 plays or more. It’s a smart idea to stack your tournament lineups with either Broncos or Eagles players, and Jackson is always a great tournament choice because of his big-play ability.


TE Jimmy Graham vs. MIA $8400

As mentioned, a high-low strategy works well on FanDuel, primarily because they price their elite players too low. Graham is so much better than any other tight end in both heads-up leagues and tournaments—he’s safe with a massive ceiling—but he’s not priced like it relative to the other tight ends.


Optimal FanDuel Lineups

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