Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 3

Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW): Week 3

By John Paulsen (Director of Forecasting), last update Sep 18, 2012

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John was named the Most Accurate Fantasy Football Expert by FantasyPros for the 2010 and 2014 seasons, and has finished in the Top 6 in seven of the last eight years. Cumulatively, John has been the most accurate expert from 2010-17 while also winning the 2011 Fantasy Sports Trade Association award for the most accurate draft rankings. 

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For those of you new to Defensive Team By Waiver Wire (DTBWW), the strategy goes like this: Each week, you target a mediocre defense on the waiver wire, looking for a good matchup, preferably at home. You will typically get good defensive production without having to burn a semi-valuable pick on draft day. Or if you do draft a DT and they start to disappoint, you can use DTBWW the rest of the way.

I have been writing this feature for three years and in 2009, my top three weekly picks averaged DT5 numbers. In 2010, they averaged DT6 numbers. Last year, they averaged DT7 numbers. So the system works pretty well.
Generally, defenses have to be available on the waiver wire in at least 40% of ESPN fantasy leagues to be eligible. This ensures that we are talking about defenses that are readily available.
Let's see how we did last week:
1. Patriots (9 fantasy points, DT11)
2. Bengals (10 FP, DT7)
3. Chargers (6 FP, DT18)
4. Raiders (-3 FP, DT31)
5. Dolphins (6 FP, DT18)
The Patriots and Bengals were solid starts; both finished in the top 12. The Raiders were obviously brutal in a great matchup with Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins, but they couldn't stop Reggie Bush to save their lives. The Chargers and the Dolphins were decent.
Let's take a look at Week 3:
Cardinals (vs. PHI) 
The Arizona defense was impressive against Tom Brady and the Patriots. Michael Vick has a tendency to take sacks and throw picks, so the Cardinals should have a nice fantasy day.

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