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Not too long ago for this site, I broke down the offseason moves that
each NFL team made
in terms of their fantasy impact
But figuring out which moves will be the biggest for fantasy players
this year, now there's
the trick.
When looking at this offseason, the two moves that stick out the most
are the signing of
Terrell Owens with Dallas and Daunte Culpepper's shift to Miami.
Both Owens and Culpepper were likely first-round picks in your
fantasy draft last season
and both disappointed mightily - Owens because he was suspended and
Culpepper
because of injuries and other problems.
Owens was a so-so proposition for fantasy players heading into last
season. His ridiculous
antics got him sent home early in training camp, a warning sign to
potential fantasy
owners. Then, when he continued down his path of ruin, he likely took
more than one
fantasy owner with him following his suspension by the Eagles.
But know this: His new coach, Bill Parcells, won't put up with the
stuff the coaches at his
previous stops did. Steve Mariucci in San Francisco was too nice a
guy to deal with Owens.
And Andy Reid counted on the veterans in his locker room to try to
rein Owens in.
Neither approach worked very well with the volatile Owens.
But Parcells will take a very hands on approach with Owens. He'll nip
potential problems
with his new star receiver in the bud. And Owens has to know that
Parcells won't put up
with a lot of shenanigans - though he certainly turned a blind eye to
Lawrence Taylor's
indiscretions when he was with the Giants.
Also remember that Owens was a pretty happy camper during his first
season in
Philadelphia as long as he was getting the football regularly.
That honeymoon period should provide fantasy owners with a good
season out of Owens
before he possibly becomes a problem again. Remember, he had 47
catches for 763 yards
and six scores last season in just seven games.
You can also bet that in at least two games - when Dallas plays
Philadelphia - he'll be
extremely motivated.
Plus, his past will scare many fantasy owners away, especially those
poor souls who had
him last year.
Don't let those things scare you. If Owens is available at the end of
the first round of your
draft, you could do much worse than taking him. And if, for some
reason, he's available in
the second round of your draft, count your lucky stars and jump on
him.
Culpepper, on the other hand, is a little bit more of a wildcard this
season.
The former Minnesota Vikings' franchise QB was likely no worse than
the third or fourth
quarterback taken in any draft last season. Yet even before his
season-ending knee injury,
Culpepper was struggling mightily without Randy Moss to throw to any
longer.
In fact, Culpepper was so bad last season that the Vikings were
comfortable letting him go
even though it means they will start Brad Johnson at quarterback this
season. Considering
they have a playoff-caliber team, that's quite a statement.
Like Owens, Culpepper played in just seven games last season, not
exactly what you
hoped for if you made him your top pick.
Even worse, he threw just six touchdown passes to go along with 12
interceptions, driving
his owners crazy before the injury finally put them out of their
misery.
With running back Ronnie Brown, wide receiver Chris Chambers and
tight end Randy
McMichael at his disposal, Culpepper arguably has more weapons in
Miami this season
than he had in Minnesota last year.
But part of his game was built around his running ability as well.
Remember, the 6-4,
265-pound Culpepper had never rushed for less than 400 yards in a
season before last
year.
Maybe that running ability, which made Culpepper truly special - he
rushed for 10
touchdowns in 2002 - may not be there any more. We likely won't know
by the time most
fantasy drafts roll around.
So the question you'll have to ask yourself is Culpepper worth taking
solely as a passer?
In 2004, Culpepper threw for 4,717 yards, completed over 69 percent
of his passes and
had 39 touchdown passes. That's a truly special season.
Maybe that was his career year. He hadn't, after all, approached
those numbers in any of
his previous four seasons as a starter.
Still, taking Culpepper early in a draft will be a risky proposition
at best. In fact, coming off
of last season's performance, counting on him to be your No. 1
quarterback is a risk not
worth taking.
Let somebody else make that mistake.
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