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| Because NFL Football is situational, aggregate
team stats often fail to show a team's true desire to mix pass
and run. GENERAL EXAMPLE If a team is trailing by 14-points, they will often go heavy pass, even if the team has been built to run the ball. Defensive Coordinators look to what an opposing team does on first down in various game situations. While lengthy, this reference report can provide a wealth of insights on a team's true play-calling preferences. As Fantasy managers, if you want to get a better read on a team's true play-calling tendencies, consider the First Down situational data below. ARIZONA CARDINALS / CAROLINA PANTHERS EXAMPLE Many FF managers think of the 2006 Cardinals as a "Pass-oriented" team. However, from below, you can quickly see that when they were ahead by 2+ scores, they ran the ball 75.44% of the time on first-and-10. Surprisingly, the "run-oriented" Carolina Panthers only rushed the ball 60% of the time last year on first-and-10 when ahead by 2+ scores. Dig in below and you might just be surprised at some of the tendencies around the league... check out OC Mike Martz (Lions) play calling when he has a 2+ score lead. |
