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Fantasy Strategy
Two teams are going to the Super Bowl.
That much we know. But which two?
Below we rank all possible Super Bowl Matchups. We rank the matchups based on likelihood
of occurrence.
This analysis is intended to give you an early read on Fantasy Playoff Value.
For many Fantasy League formats, the more playoff games a player plays in, the
higher his NFL Playoff Fantasy Value.
Notes: in most years this type
analysis has done rather well at predicting the Super Bowl teams. But, it's never
easy and far from perfect. In 2004, it correctly predicted the Eagles-Patriots matchup. The year
before, it had identified the Panthers-Patriots matchup as the 9th most likely occurrence.
Not bad considering Carolina was a significant underdog on the road against both
Philly and St. Louis that year. Also worth noting, in 2005, the analysis
identified Seattle for the Super Bowl but missed on the Steelers. Still, the
SEA-PIT matchup was forecasted as the 11th most likely combo. In 2006, the
process had the CHI-INDY Super Bowl as the 7th most likely matchup.
In 2008 this method identified PIT as the most likely AFC team to reach the big dance. For more
on our prior year Super Bowl Matchup Reports - 2003
Season, 2004
Season, 2005
Season, 2006
Season, 2007
Season, 2008
Season.
Ranking the 2009-10 Super Bowl Matchup Possibilities
Most to Least Likely| NFC | AFC | Likelihood of Matchup | Odds of Occurring |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO | IND | 18.2% | 4-to-1 |
| MIN | IND | 14.4% | 6-to-1 |
| NO | SD | 13.3% | 7-to-1 |
| MIN | SD | 10.5% | 9-to-1 |
| DAL | IND | 5.3% | 18-to-1 |
| DAL | SD | 3.9% | 25-to-1 |
| PHI | IND | 3.4% | 29-to-1 |
| GB | IND | 3.4% | 29-to-1 |
| ARI | IND | 3.4% | 29-to-1 |
| NO | NE | 3.0% | 32-to-1 |
| GB | SD | 2.5% | 40-to-1 |
| ARI | SD | 2.5% | 40-to-1 |
| PHI | SD | 2.5% | 40-to-1 |
| MIN | NE | 2.4% | 41-to-1 |
| NO | BAL | 1.5% | 65-to-1 |
| MIN | BAL | 1.2% | 82-to-1 |
| NO | CIN | 1.1% | 87-to-1 |
| MIN | CIN | 0.9% | 110-to-1 |
| DAL | NE | 0.9% | 113-to-1 |
| NO | NYJ | 0.8% | 131-to-1 |
| MIN | NYJ | 0.6% | 166-to-1 |
| ARI | NE | 0.6% | 178-to-1 |
| PHI | NE | 0.6% | 178-to-1 |
| GB | NE | 0.6% | 178-to-1 |
| DAL | BAL | 0.4% | 226-to-1 |
| DAL | CIN | 0.3% | 302-to-1 |
| ARI | BAL | 0.3% | 356-to-1 |
| PHI | BAL | 0.3% | 356-to-1 |
| GB | BAL | 0.3% | 356-to-1 |
| DAL | NYJ | 0.2% | 454-to-1 |
| GB | CIN | 0.2% | 475-to-1 |
| PHI | CIN | 0.2% | 475-to-1 |
| ARI | CIN | 0.2% | 475-to-1 |
| GB | NYJ | 0.1% | 713-to-1 |
| PHI | NYJ | 0.1% | 713-to-1 |
| ARI | NYJ | 0.1% | 713-to-1 |