Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Andrew Luck 23.3 fantasy points (actual 23.4)

2) Jordan Matthews 73 receiving yards (actual 75)

3) Nelson Agholor 38 receiving yards (actual 34)

4) Russell Wilson 284 passing yards (actual 270)

5) Mike Wallace 9.3 fantasy points (actual 9.7)

6) Breshad Perriman 47 receiving yards (actual 48)

7) Jaron Brown 32 receiving yards (actual 35)

8) David Johnson 137 total yards (actual 138 yards)

9) Terrance Williams 7.6 fantasy points (actual 7.5)

10) Eddie Royal 53 receiving yards (actual 54)

11) Ryan Tannehill 256 passing yards (actual 252)

12) Jarvis Landry 84 receiving yards (actual 91)

13) DeVante Parker 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

14) Matthew Stafford 259 passing yards (actual 270)

15) Golden Tate would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 138 yards above average)

16) Lance Kendricks 32 receiving yards (actual 34)

17) Brian Quick 6.3 fantasy points (actual 6.1)

18) DeSean Jackson 3.9 receptions (actual = 4)

19) Kirk Cousins 255 passing yards (actual 263)

20) Rishard Matthews 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

21) Matt Ryan 21.4 fantasy points (actual 21.6)

22) Mohamed Sanu 45 receiving yards (actual 47)

23) Devonta Freeman would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 42 yards below average)

24) Sterling Shepard 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

25) Martellus Bennett 47 receiving yards (actual 48)

26) Drew Brees would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 465)

27) Michael Thomas 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

28) Blake Bortles 263 passing yards (actual 271)

29) Brock Osweiler 257 passing yards (actual 269)

30) DeAndre Hopkins 76 receiving yards (actual 71)

31) Greg Olsen 87 receiving yards (actual 94)

32) Cam Newton projected pass TD 2.0 (actual 2)

33) Melvin Gordon 93 total yards (actual 94 yards)

34) A.J. Green 90 receiving yards (actual 88)

35) Andy Dalton 22.3 fantasy points (actual 21.9)

36) Giovani Bernard 9.6 fantasy points (actual 9.4)

37) Aaron Rodgers would pass for more yards than his average (actual = 75 yards above average)

38) Eddie Lacy 71 rushing yards (actual 65)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 6 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 281 1.7 290 1.9 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 281 1.5 265 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 274 1.8 234 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 6 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 110 1.2 109 0.7 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 77 0.4 81 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 34 0.2 38 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 6 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 86 0.4 75 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 54 0.2 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 47 0.4 45 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w7