Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Eli Manning projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

2) Drew Brees 327 passing yards (actual 326)

3) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

4) Carson Palmer 22.7 fantasy points (actual 23.9)

5) Ben Roethlisberger 287 passing yards (actual 289)

6) Matt Ryan 297 passing yards (actual 297)

7) Vernon Davis 46 receiving yards (actual 47)

8) Larry Fitzgerald 78 receiving yards (actual 78)

9) DeSean Jackson 57 receiving yards (actual 59)

10) Aaron Rodgers projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

11) Matthew Stafford 25.0 fantasy points (actual 23.8)

12) Kenny Britt 63 receiving yards (actual 67)

13) LeSean McCoy would rush for 100+ yards (actual 130)

14) Michael Crabtree 70 receiving yards (actual 74)

15) Mike Wallace 63 receiving yards (actual 59)

16) Julian Edelman 10.1 fantasy points (actual 10.1)

17) Alex Smith 267 passing yards (actual 270)

18) Sam Bradford 258 passing yards (actual 247)

19) Brandon LaFell 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

20) Demaryius Thomas 67 receiving yards (actual 61)

21) LeGarrette Blount 83 total yards (actual 88 yards)

22) Jimmy Graham 67 receiving yards (actual 63)

23) Kyle Rudolph 44 receiving yards (actual 45)

24) Doug Baldwin 72 receiving yards (actual 65)

25) Andrew Luck 279 passing yards (actual 278)

26) Ryan Tannehill 230 passing yards (actual 226)

27) Kirk Cousins 278 passing yards (actual 271)

28) Brock Osweiler 18.3 fantasy points (actual 18.1)

29) Russell Wilson 272 passing yards (actual 277)

30) Marquise Goodwin 35 receiving yards (actual 35)

31) Jack Doyle 31 receiving yards (actual 30)

32) Derek Carr projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

33) Brandin Cooks 70 receiving yards (actual 73)

34) Jarvis Landry 8.3 fantasy points (actual 8.6)

35) Terrance West 48 rushing yards (actual 50)

36) Dontrelle Inman 54 receiving yards (actual 49)

37) Melvin Gordon 88 rushing yards (actual 84)

38) Jay Ajayi 93 total yards (actual 87 yards)

39) David Johnson projected rushing TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

40) Nelson Agholor 25 receiving yards (actual 23)

41) Jesse James 3.2 fantasy points (actual 3.2)

42) Will Fuller 57 receiving yards (actual 59)

43) Tyler Boyd 61 receiving yards (actual 66)

44) Sterling Shepard 7.7 fantasy points (actual 8.1)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 13 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 256 1.6 288 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 244 1.4 260 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 219 1.0 228 1.3 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 13 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 151 1.2 114 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 68 0.8 79 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 27 0.2 36 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 13 2016 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 80 0.4 75 0.4 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 56 0.3 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 43 0.3 44 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2016, w14