Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Frank Gore 70 rushing yards (actual 76)

2) T.Y. Hilton 4.1 receptions (actual = 4)

3) Sam Bradford projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

4) Doug Baldwin 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

5) Emmanuel Sanders 4.6 receptions (actual = 5)

6) Travis Benjamin 59 receiving yards (actual 53)

7) Isaiah Crowell 54 total yards (actual 53 yards)

8) Kamar Aiken 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

9) Larry Fitzgerald 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

10) Darren McFadden 93 rushing yards (actual 92)

11) Anquan Boldin 5.2 receptions (actual = 5)

12) Vance McDonald 41 receiving yards (actual 37)

13) Eric Decker 11.0 fantasy points (actual 11.0)

14) Antonio Brown would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 187)

15) Markus Wheaton 52 receiving yards (actual 57)

16) Lamar Miller 60 rushing yards (actual 60)

17) Jarvis Landry 70 receiving yards (actual 72)

18) Tavon Austin 29 receiving yards (actual 30)

19) Pierre Garcon 49 receiving yards (actual 49)

20) Kirk Cousins would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 90 yards below average)

21) Jordan Reed 45 receiving yards (actual 45)

22) Matt Ryan projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

23) Julio Jones would have a 100 yard receiving game (actual 149)

24) Eli Manning projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

25) Danny Amendola would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 32 yards below average)

26) Allen Robinson 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

27) DeAndre Hopkins 7.4 receptions (actual = 7)

28) Cam Newton projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

29) Philip Rivers 237 passing yards (actual 228)

30) Marvin Jones 4.6 receptions (actual = 5)

31) Giovani Bernard 38 rushing yards (actual 36)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 17 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 260 1.8 285 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 187 1.0 258 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 254 1.4 230 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 17 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 71 0.6 99 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 85 0.2 84 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 48 0.3 43 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 17 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 91 0.4 85 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 57 0.3 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 47 0.3 41 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w18

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