Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Carson Palmer 276 passing yards (actual 271)

2) John Brown 4.8 receptions (actual = 5)

3) Jacob Tamme 7.0 fantasy points (actual 6.9)

4) LeSean McCoy 13.9 fantasy points (actual 14.1)

5) Greg Olsen 77 receiving yards (actual 70)

6) A.J. Green 6.1 receptions (actual = 6)

7) Jeremy Hill 9.8 fantasy points (actual 10.0)

8) Gary Barnidge 9.1 fantasy points (actual 9.1)

9) Ronnie Hillman 64 rushing yards (actual 59)

10) Calvin Johnson 84 receiving yards (actual 93)

11) Randall Cobb 70 receiving yards (actual 74)

12) Richard Rodgers 28 receiving yards (actual 30)

13) Coby Fleener 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

14) Blake Bortles 23.3 fantasy points (actual 22.5)

15) Allen Robinson 11.9 fantasy points (actual 11.6)

16) Kyle Rudolph 5.2 fantasy points (actual 5.3)

17) Tom Brady 22.6 fantasy points (actual 23.2)

18) Ben Watson 51 receiving yards (actual 53)

19) Mark Ingram 96 total yards (actual 97 yards)

20) Brandin Cooks 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

21) Willie Snead 3.7 receptions (actual = 4)

22) Eli Manning projected pass TD 1.8 (actual 2)

23) Eric Decker 66 receiving yards (actual 62)

24) Chris Ivory 81 rushing yards (actual 87)

25) Latavius Murray 86 total yards (actual 82 yards)

26) Jordan Matthews 56 receiving yards (actual 60)

27) Philip Rivers 293 passing yards (actual 300)

28) Tyler Lockett 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

29) Tavon Austin 35 receiving yards (actual 33)

30) Jameis Winston 258 passing yards (actual 245)

31) Harry Douglas 30 receiving yards (actual 29)

32) Anthony Fasano 22 receiving yards (actual 22)

33) Delanie Walker 9.0 fantasy points (actual 9.1)

34) Kirk Cousins 20.9 fantasy points (actual 22.2)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 12 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 278 2.3 290 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 276 1.9 261 1.7 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 265 1.2 232 1.2 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 12 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 99 1.0 102 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 74 0.4 86 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.1 42 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 12 2015 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 72 0.7 85 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 72 0.7 64 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 45 0.3 39 0.2 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2015, w13