Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Andre Ellington 16.2 fantasy points (actual 16.0)

2) John Brown 41 receiving yards (actual 41)

3) Joe Flacco 261 passing yards (actual 258)

4) Justin Forsett 92 total yards (actual 95 yards)

5) Torrey Smith would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 43 yards above average)

6) Scott Chandler 3.1 receptions (actual = 3)

7) Robert Woods 3.8 receptions (actual = 4)

8) Kelvin Benjamin 64 receiving yards (actual 61)

9) Martellus Bennett 59 receiving yards (actual 58)

10) Matt Forte 56 receiving yards (actual 60)

11) Brandon Marshall 5.7 receptions (actual = 6)

12) Tony Romo 22.7 fantasy points (actual 21.7)

13) DeMarco Murray 19.7 fantasy points (actual 19.2)

14) Peyton Manning 27.4 fantasy points (actual 28.6)

15) Matthew Stafford projected pass TD 1.9 (actual 2)

16) Joique Bell 52 rushing yards (actual 48)

17) Jeremy Ross 3.4 receptions (actual = 3)

18) Jordy Nelson 13.8 fantasy points (actual 14.0)

19) Randall Cobb 6.0 receptions (actual = 6)

20) Eddie Lacy 62 rushing yards (actual 63)

21) Andre Johnson 80 receiving yards (actual 77)

22) Ryan Fitzpatrick 18.3 fantasy points (actual 18.1)

23) Arian Foster 105 rushing yards (actual 102)

24) DeAndre Hopkins 9.1 fantasy points (actual 8.8)

25) Ahmad Bradshaw 51 rushing yards (actual 52)

26) Andrew Luck projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

27) T.Y. Hilton 10.3 fantasy points (actual 10.7)

28) Dwayne Allen 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

29) Allen Robinson 57 receiving yards (actual 60)

30) Alex Smith 227 passing yards (actual 221)

31) Travis Kelce 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

32) Mike Wallace 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

33) Lamar Miller 67 rushing yards (actual 61)

34) Rob Gronkowski 62 receiving yards (actual 68)

35) Drew Brees would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 342)

36) Rueben Randle would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 33 yards above average)

37) Eric Decker 4.2 receptions (actual = 4)

38) Geno Smith 17.3 fantasy points (actual 16.7)

39) Ben Roethlisberger 259 passing yards (actual 265)

40) Antonio Brown 13.6 fantasy points (actual 13.1)

41) Philip Rivers projected pass TD 2.1 (actual 2)

42) Malcom Floyd 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

43) Keenan Allen 63 receiving yards (actual 58)

44) Jermaine Kearse 48 receiving yards (actual 50)

45) Doug Baldwin would have more reception yardage than his average (actual = 86 yards above average)

46) Frank Gore would rush for fewer yards than his average (actual = 59 yards below average)

47) Colin Kaepernick 256 passing yards (actual 263)

48) Lance Kendricks 17 receiving yards (actual 17)

49) Kendall Wright 63 receiving yards (actual 68)

50) Pierre Garcon 5.3 receptions (actual = 5)

51) Kirk Cousins would pass for fewer yards than his average (actual = 175 yards below average)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 7 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 285 2.1 286 2.1 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 216 1.2 249 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 227 1.6 225 1.5 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 7 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 97 0.6 103 0.6 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 67 0.6 79 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.3 41 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 7 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 99 0.6 87 0.6 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 59 0.4 61 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 37 0.2 43 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2014, w8