Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Andre Ellington 25 receiving yards (actual 24)

2) John Brown 6.9 fantasy points (actual 6.9)

3) Matt Ryan 278 passing yards (actual 268)

4) Roddy White 69 receiving yards (actual 75)

5) Jerricho Cotchery 44 receiving yards (actual 43)

6) Greg Olsen 63 receiving yards (actual 61)

7) Matt Forte 54 receiving yards (actual 58)

8) Jay Cutler 22.8 fantasy points (actual 23.3)

9) Andy Dalton 21.0 fantasy points (actual 22.0)

10) Miles Austin 3.2 receptions (actual = 3)

11) Peyton Manning would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 389)

12) Demaryius Thomas 107 receiving yards (actual 103)

13) Golden Tate would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 60 yards below average)

14) Aaron Rodgers 30.1 fantasy points (actual 28.8)

15) Jordy Nelson 108 receiving yards (actual 109)

16) Andrew Quarless 3.6 fantasy points (actual 3.5)

17) Eddie Lacy 64 rushing yards (actual 69)

18) Davante Adams 7.1 fantasy points (actual 7.3)

19) Andre Johnson 71 receiving yards (actual 68)

20) Reggie Wayne 5.0 receptions (actual = 5)

21) Hakeem Nicks 16 receiving yards (actual 15)

22) Andrew Luck 315 passing yards (actual 303)

23) Jarvis Landry 50 receiving yards (actual 46)

24) Tom Brady projected pass TD 2.2 (actual 2)

25) Rob Gronkowski projected receiving TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

26) Brandin Cooks 4.7 receptions (actual = 5)

27) Jeremy Maclin 82 receiving yards (actual 93)

28) Jordan Matthews 4.9 receptions (actual = 5)

29) Antonio Brown 95 receiving yards (actual 91)

30) Malcom Floyd 3.6 receptions (actual = 4)

31) Keenan Allen 63 receiving yards (actual 63)

32) Anquan Boldin 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

33) Delanie Walker would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 57 yards below average)

34) Kendall Wright 4.3 receptions (actual = 4)

35) Justin Hunter 52 receiving yards (actual 48)

36) Niles Paul would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 31 yards below average)

37) Alfred Morris 13.8 fantasy points (actual 13.2)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 11 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 279 1.5 285 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 222 1.6 250 1.6 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 237 1.1 226 1.4 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 11 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 168 0.8 109 0.8 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 103 0.3 81 0.5 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 39 0.1 39 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 11 2014 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 91 0.5 91 0.7 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 63 0.3 62 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 44 0.3 43 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2014, w12