Forecast Accuracy Report

The Importance of Looking Back & Keeping Score...

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish
week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble.
As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process
provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and
consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been
validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90's. With years of research, experience and results, we've
gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and
forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Every week has it's share of upsets. In turn we have a number of
surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things
including...

1) Ben Roethlisberger 298 passing yards (actual 287)

2) Matt Ryan would pass for over 300 yards passing yards (actual 378)

3) Jordy Nelson 7.9 fantasy points (actual 7.8)

4) Danny Amendola 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

5) Golden Tate 31 receiving yards (actual 33)

6) Jimmy Graham 3.3 receptions (actual = 3)

7) Dion Lewis 23 receiving yards (actual 23)

8) Andrew Luck 272 passing yards (actual 285)

9) Lamar Miller 11.1 fantasy points (actual 11.6)

10) Case Keenum projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

11) Vance McDonald 42 receiving yards (actual 39)

12) Mike Evans 5.8 receptions (actual = 6)

13) Brandin Cooks 5.1 receptions (actual = 5)

14) Eric Ebron 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

15) Trey Burton 35 receiving yards (actual 33)

16) John Brown would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 44 yards below average)

17) Taylor Gabriel 6.3 fantasy points (actual 6.1)

18) Tevin Coleman 43 rushing yards (actual 45)

19) Amari Cooper would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 44 yards below average)

20) Stefon Diggs 10.1 fantasy points (actual 10.7)

21) Tyler Lockett 65 receiving yards (actual 66)

22) Jesse James would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 33 yards below average)

23) Jared Goff 25.2 fantasy points (actual 24.0)

24) Derrick Henry 101 rushing yards (actual 93)

25) Michael Thomas would have less reception yardage than his average (actual = 63 yards below average)

26) Sterling Shepard 62 receiving yards (actual 67)

27) Deshaun Watson 239 passing yards (actual 234)

28) Mitch Trubisky would fail to reach 200 yards passing yards (actual 163)

29) Christian McCaffrey 24 receiving yards (actual 22)

30) Joe Mixon 105 total yards (actual 107 yards)

31) Corey Davis 49 receiving yards (actual 48)

32) David Njoku 5.9 fantasy points (actual 6.2)

33) Chris Carson projected rushing TDs 0.9 (actual 1)

34) Josh Rosen projected pass TD 1.1 (actual 1)

35) Saquon Barkley 20.2 fantasy points (actual 20.2)

36) Calvin Ridley 8.9 fantasy points (actual 9.2)

37) D.J. Moore 4.0 receptions (actual = 4)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week.
We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 15 years.

QB Projected Impact Week 17 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 250 2.3 283 2.0 257 1.8
4for4 B-Game 199 1.2 248 1.5 213 1.2
4for4 C-Game 224 1.5 195 1.1 174 0.9
RB Projected Impact Week 17 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 97 0.6 113 0.9 112 0.8
4for4 B-Game 67 0.2 78 0.6 90 0.5
4for4 C-Game 43 0.3 40 0.2 31 0.2
WR Projected Impact Week 17 2018 Last 15 Seasons
Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs Total Yards Total TDs
4for4 A-Game 88 0.7 87 0.5 85 0.6
4for4 B-Game 53 0.7 65 0.4 62 0.4
4for4 C-Game 39 0.4 41 0.3 38 0.3

To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.

Filed Under: 2018, w18