Peyton Manning, QB Denver Broncos

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Carson Palmer continues to impress

Saturday, August 22, 2015, 10:04am

USA Today - [Full Article]

The bulky black brace Cards QB Carson Palmer wears on his left knee is about the only sign he is less than nine months removed from his second torn anterior cruciate ligament.

That and, well, the way head coach Arizona Cardinals coach Bruce Arians still sometimes shakes his head in disbelief that three weeks into training camp, Palmer isn’t just healthy, he’s better.

And maybe better than he’s been at any point since he made back-to-back Pro Bowls in 2005 and 2006 while playing for the Cincinnati Bengals.

“Carson is in great shape, mentally and physically,” Arians told USA TODAY Sports.

Plenty of coaches gush these sorts of platitudes about their quarterback this time of year. But it means something coming from a quarterback guru like Arians, who has tutored passers like Peyton Manning, Ben Roethlisberger and Andrew Luck.

Fantasy Impact:

The story said that through three weeks of training camp, Palmer has been among the Cardinals’ most consistent players, something that backs up numerous reports we've had here at 4for4. In a recent fully-padded practice, he zipped pass after pass across the middle of the field to Larry Fitzgerald, and nailed several deep touchdown passes to second-year receiver John Brown — all while playing against a secondary that includes stars Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu. Then, in his first live action since suffering the knee injury on Nov. 9, Palmer went 4-for-4 for 77 yards to lead the Cardinals to a touchdown in his one series of work in the preseason opener against Kansas City last week. All signs are pointing to Palmer having very nice, later-round value at the QB position, definitely something to note if you're waiting to draft at the position.

Scouting Report

Fantasy Upside
Despite having what some called a ‘down season’ in 2014, Peyton Manning still threw for over 4,700 yards and 39 TDs. In his three years in Denver, Peyton has not missed a game and tossed 131 touchdowns. Since Manning is a player of habit that relies on timing routes with his receivers, it’s good that he already has a strong rapport with two of them in Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, as the duo combined for 212 receptions, over 3,000 yards and 20 touchdowns last season. While Wes Welker and TE Julius Thomas are gone, 2014 second-round pick Cody Latimer will receive a larger role in his second year. Gary Kubiak’s play calling history shows that he is able to adjust to his team’s talent and strengths and produce fantasy relevant players across the board.

Fantasy Downside
It’s no secret that Manning is in one of his final years in the NFL. The 39-year-old played the final month of last season with a torn right quadriceps, which no doubt affected his downfield passing. He threw for 300 yards just once in the final seven contests, which included the post-season loss to the Colts. In ’14, Peyton threw 15 INTs, his highest total as a Bronco, with 12 of those picks coming during the final nine regular season games. After averaging 41 pass attempts per game the first 10 games, he threw the ball an average of less than 32 times the final six regular season contests, which was a result of both his injury and a resurgence in the Broncos rushing attack. Last season Manning’s completion percentage and average yards per attempts were the lowest during his stint in Denver. With Kubiak, you can expect to see the Broncos to continue to use a balanced attack, which will likely lead to a decline is Peyton’s numbers.

Bottom Line
Even through Kubiak likes to run the ball, he still has one of the best weapons in the league with Manning and will definitely utilize him to keep defenses honest. Peyton’s numbers are sure to take a bit of a drop from the 4,700 yards and 39 scores of ’14, but he is still a top-five fantasy QB, especially now that he’s had the offseason to get healthy. Manning will be without his two best offensive linemen from last season, in Orlando Franklin and Ryan Clady, but he is the best in the game at getting rid of the ball and finding WRs on timing routs. Even though quarterbacks under Kubiak have produced just 14 fantasy points per game (a mark that would have ranked 21st in the league in 2014), that stat is misleading as Kubiak has had a QB start more than 11 games in a season in just five of nine years as a play caller. And 23 games have been started by a combination of Sage Rosenfels, T.J. Yates and Case Keenum. A silver lining for Manning owners (not that you really need one), was with Matt Schaub at the helm in ’08-’11 under Kubiak, he was ranked in the top 10 three times in fantasy points per game. Don’t be concerned about Peyton possibly taking parts or all of games off to be ready for the playoffs. While modifications have been made in Manning's practice schedule, that doesn't necessarily mean time off in games. We have him as fourth on our QB list.

2015 Strength of Schedule - DEN
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17
19
BAL
5
@KC
9
@DET
10
MIN
27
@OAK
8
@CLE
BYE14
GB
21
@IND
5
KC
30
@CHI
24
NE
23
@SD
27
OAK
31
@PIT
3
CIN
23
SD

Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.

2014 Game Stats
WkOppCompAttPaYdsPaTDIntYPAYPCRuAttYdsTDFumYPRSnaps%
1IND2236269307.4712.234-300-0.7575/75100%
2KC2126242309.3111.521-100-1.0049/49100%
3SEA3149303216.189.771-100-1.0072/72100%
4BYE--------------
5ARI31474794210.1915.452-200-1.0081/81100%
6NYJ2233237307.1810.7710000.0070/70100%
7SF22263184012.2314.451-100-1.0051/6085%
8SD2535286308.1711.4410000.0068/68100%
9NE3457438227.6812.8823001.5080/80100%
10OAK3144340527.7310.970000-64/8080%
11STL3454389127.2011.441-100-1.0069/69100%
12MIA2835257407.349.182-200-1.0075/75100%
13KC1734179205.2610.532-601-3.0082/82100%
14BUF1420173028.6512.362-200-1.0055/55100%
15SD14202331011.6516.643-300-1.0062/6694%
16CIN2844311247.0711.110000-69/69100%
17OAK2137273007.3813.001-501-5.0071/7891%
Totals395597472739157.9211.9724-2402-1.001093/112997%

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