Posted by Anthony Stalter
Sunday, July 17, 2016 - 12:13pm
Julio Jones finished last season with 136 catches for 1,871 yards and eight touchdowns. Both the catches and yards are the second-most in league history as Jones finished as fantasy's No. 3 overall player in 2015. The production is even more impressive when you consider defenses constantly double-teamed Jones with a safety over the top in coverage. That's not going to change in 2016, as defensive coordinators will still use help to try to limit the damage Jones can create. But the Falcons hope the addition of free agent Mohamad Sanu will at least force safeties to pay attention to the other side of the field. Even if Sanu has little impact, Jones' fantasy potential remains high. At 27, he's in the prime of his career and is one of the best receivers in the game.
Unless Jones is injured, there is no downside. He did miss a game in 2015 and was held to only five games after suffering a "Jones fracture" in 2013, but otherwise has played in at least 15 games in three of the past four years.
2016 Bottom Line
Jones' current ADP is 1.03 for both 10 and 12-team leagues. For some reason, he's falling to the seventh overall pick on average in CBS leagues, but that seems to be his absolute floor. Barring injury, there's no reason to expect Jones to take a step back in 2016. In fact, if Matt Ryan significantly improves his red zone production after struggling in that area last year (and he should given this will be his second season running Kyle Shanahan's offense), then Jones could see a bump in touchdowns after scoring eight times last season. He's a bona fide WR1 who is likely to be selected within the first five picks of your draft.