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Monday, March 7, 2016, 8:21pm
The Colts had two tight ends poised to become free agents. They now have one. But the one who re-signed isn’t the one anyone expected to re-sign.
Per a league source, the Colts and tight end Dwayne Allen have worked out a four-year, $29.4 million deal. He’ll get $12 million in year one, $17 million total through two years, and $22 million through three years. The includes $16 million guaranteed; it’s unclear how much is fully guaranteed at signing.
Related players: Coby Fleener
This is a surprise since the Colts were rumored to be set on re-signing Coby Fleener, not Allen. If Fleener moves on, Allen will be a sleeper provided he's the primary receiving tight end in Indianapolis. He has only averaged 3.4 targets per game in 43 career games, but if Fleener is out of the way, that number may double.
Posted by Steve Andress
Thursday, July 14, 2016 - 4:33pm
The departure of Coby Fleener to New Orleans and offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski entering his first full season with the Colts is a great combination for Allen’s 2016 fantasy prospects. As early as they could, team brass made it clear they wanted Allen to re-sign in Indianapolis at a time when it was unclear if the Colts preferred Allen or Fleener. TEs under Chudzinski (Greg Olsen 2012, Jordan Cameron 2013) have been fantasy gold too, averaging 74.5-880-6. That would project to TE3 in our 2016 PPR rankings and TE5 in standard.
Allen 2016 value could still be tied to how well the right side of the Colts offensive line plays. It was awful in 2015, requiring Allen to stay in-line and block often. The Colts spent half their draft to address center, right guard, and right tackle, but if it doesn’t improve, it could definitely eat into Allen’s targets.
Allen’s health is a concern too, missing three games each of the past two years and playing at much less than 100 percent in a handful of others. That after he missed 15 games in 2013.
Given Allen’s incredibly low 15th round ADP in 12-team leagues, he could be one of the steals of 2016 drafts, even with his injury concerns. His ADP takes any injury risk out of the equation. With Allen, you can draft him as your 2nd TE and easily see TE1 returns, as he is a top-12 TE in both our standard and PPR projections.
2016 Strength of Schedule - IND
Schedule difficulty based on schedule-adjusted, positional defensive ranking. Top DEF = 1, bottom DEF = 32.
2015 Game Stats
|Per game||1.23||8.38||0.08||2.23||6.81||0.08||0.08||0||0||1.00||39.15/68.85||56.94% |