Projections that incorporate the volatility of each individual fantasy statistic for each position.
4for4's award-winning projections have been run through an algorithm created by Chris Raybon that incorporates the volatility of each individual fantasy statistic for each position, outputting floor and ceiling projections.
NEW for 2016: Floor and ceiling projections now account for not only the volatility of each fantasy statistic for each position, but also for how accurately we are able to forecast a particular stat. The more accurate we are at forecasting a given stat, the smaller the projected range of outcomes becomes compared to its inherent level of volatility, and vice-versa.
Floor projections are useful in cash games when you want to maximize your lineup's floor.
Ceiling projections are useful in tournaments when you want to maximize your lineup's upside.
These projections can also be used to get a sense of the possible range of outcomes for each player.