But the Colts didn't spend a first-round pick on Phillip Dorsett for him to sit on the bench. If he proves ready for playing time, it's likely going to come quickly. And that will have a considerable impact on certain players' snap counts and their number of targets.
Hilton's snaps figure to be safe, but if the Colts bring Dorsett along quickly, the playing time of both Johnson and Moncrief will be affected. If he plays big snaps, it could have a ripple effect on Fleener and/or Allen, assuming Hamilton calls fewer two-TE sets to get his receivers on the field. The pick is certainly a boost for QB Andrew Luck, but it's hard to see how it helps any of the other Colts receivers.
“This guy can make plays. He’s big. He’s fast. He can stretch the defense, all those types of things,” said Pagano. “It’s a learning process, and he’s going to be better in year two than he was in year one. He’s going to have more opportunities.”
Overall, Moncrief played more than 50% of the snaps in just six games (week 8 at Pittsburgh when Reggie Wayne was out & the last five weeks of the season). In those six games, Moncrief accumulated 18 receptions, 301 yards, and all 3 of his TDs.
That’s more than 56% of his catches for the year, about 68% of his yards, and 100% of his touchdowns for the season...in just six games, the only games where Moncrief played a majority of the snaps. The picture is getting clearer as to why the 6’2”, 221 pound burner is expected to get more opportunities in 2015.
In those six games, Moncrief averaged 3.0 catches for 50 yards and 0.50 touchdowns, but that split includes both huge games (3-134-2 vs. Washington, 7-113-1 vs. Pittsburgh) and disappearing acts (a goose egg vs. Houston, 2-5 vs. Dallas, 3-16 vs. Tennessee), so his production was all over the place. Moncrief's ADP took a two-round hit (6th to 8th) once the Colts signed Andre Johnson, and the signing certainly takes some of the wind out of Moncrief's sails. But both Reggie Wayne (859 snaps) and Hakeem Nicks (576 snaps) are gone, so there may be room for both Johnson and Moncrief to play starter's snaps. The question is how often the Colts go to two-TE sets since Dwayne Allen should be healthy after missing six games last season. When either Allen or Wayne were out, Nicks played 59% of the snaps. When both were in the lineup, Nicks played just 45% of the snaps. Moncrief is still going to be a breakout candidate, but his playing time is up in the air.
Friday, December 26, 2014, 6:53pm
Colts TE Dwayne Allen (knee, out) missed practice all week and is out for Week 17. With Allen out, Coby Fleener should get the start, though it’s tough to trust any of the Indianapolis players given their performance against Dallas last week. The Colts are locked into their playoff spot, so they don’t have anything to play for except for momentum.
With Hilton inactive, Donte Moncrief draws the start and is a fantasy WR2 start with Reggie Wayne (PPR) and Hakeem Nicks having Sneaky Start appeal. Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen also get a bump. Andrew Luck's ranking takes a slight hit with Hilton out, but he has enough weapons and should be able to manufacture plenty of fantasy points against Dallas.
"For some," Pagano responded. "This guy is pretty special. Don't count him out."
As we reported yesterday, those around the team consider him doubtful even though his official status is questionable. If he’s out, Donte Moncrief becomes a fantasy WR2 with Reggie Wayne (PPR) and Hakeem Nicks having Sneaky Start appeal. Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen would also get a bump. Andrew Luck’s ranking takes a slight hit with Hilton out, but he has enough weapons and should be able to manufacture plenty of fantasy points against Dallas.
Friday, December 19, 2014, 6:02pm
Colts WR T.Y. Hilton (hamstring, questionable) missed practice all week and is questionable for Week 16. The beat writers are describing Hilton as doubtful, though he’s officially questionable. We currently do not expect him to play, since Indianapolis doesn’t have a whole lot to play for. If he’s out, Donte Moncrief becomes a fantasy WR2 with Reggie Wayne (PPR) and Hakeem Nicks having Sneaky Start appeal. Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen would also get a bump. Andrew Luck’s ranking takes a slight hit with Hilton out, but he has enough weapons and should be able to manufacture plenty of fantasy points against Dallas.
Friday, December 5, 2014, 6:38pm
Colts TE Dwayne Allen (ankle, probable) took full practice reps all week and is probable for Week 14. Allen will be back this week, and his return will put a big dent in Coby Fleener’s fantasy value. Allen was the #7 TE prior to his injury, so he should return to TE1 status in Week 14.
Thursday, December 4, 2014, 5:59pm
Colts TE Dwayne Allen (ankle) took full practice reps again Thursday. Allen is expected back this week, and his return will put a big dent in Coby Fleener’s fantasy value. Allen was the #7 TE prior to his injury, so he should return to TE1 status in Week 14.
Wednesday, December 3, 2014, 6:30pm
Colts TE Dwayne Allen (ankle) practiced fully Wednesday. Allen is expected back this week, and his return will put a big dent in Coby Fleener’s fantasy value. Allen was the #7 TE prior to his injury, so he should return to TE1 status in Week 14.
Friday, November 28, 2014, 6:04pm
Colts TE Dwayne Allen (ankle, out) missed practice all week and is out for Week 13. Coby Fleener is locked in to heavy snaps with Allen out.
Wednesday, November 26, 2014, 6:20pm
Colts TE Dwayne Allen (ankle) did not practice Wednesday. We’re assuming Allen is out until he starts practicing. Coby Fleener was a disappointment last week, but he’s still a low-end TE1 against Washington this week.
Friday, November 21, 2014, 6:26pm
Colts TE Dwayne Allen (ankle, out) missed practice all week and is out for Week 12. Coby Fleener can be dialed up as a top 5 option against the Jaguars. Fleener has gained 64-plus yards and/or scored a touchdown in six of his last eight games, and is the #8 TE over that span.
Friday, November 21, 2014, 6:26pm
Dolphins TE Charles Clay (knee, doubtful) missed practice again Friday and is doubtful for Week 12. Midweek downgrades due to new injuries typically result in a missed game and the doubtful tag confirms that he’s likely to miss Week 12. There are no good alternatives in Miami, though owners could pickup and start someone like Coby Fleener, Niles Paul or Marcedes Lewis.
“I told Coby numerous times during the game, ‘Great play. Great play.’ And even after the game I said, ‘You grew up tonight, man. You grew up. You had a great game.’ It was the Coby Fleener that we all see in practice show up in the game. A lot of people don’t understand his speed and his size and his height. He can be a mismatch. There’s no way he shouldn’t be listed in the elite group of tight ends,” Wayne said on his weekly radio show.
“There’s no going back from here. He’s growing up,” Wayne says of Fleener.
“We’ve seen this in Coby in spurts. But like I told him, ‘There’s no going back. There’s no going backwards. From here on out, you just set the standard. You just set the table so now everybody is going to expect you to perform this way every week. Coby is to the point now where everything should be going and we believe it is. He showed that the other night.”
Chuck Pagano took notice of what Fleener gave the Colts offense last Sunday.
“(Fleener) played big (Sunday). He played physical,” Pagano said on his weekly radio show. “He made two of the finest catches that I’ve seen a tight end make. We had another tight end that we were defending on the other side of the field that was pretty damn good but Coby went up and made some great plays, great catches. It’s good to see his production coming through. He’s more than capable and now he’s just got to keep it there.”
Dwayne Allen's injury was initially described as a high-ankle sprain, and although he has indicated that it's not serious, he has been unable to practice this week, so Fleener is a Sneaky Start in a solid matchup with the Jaguars. Fleener posted #13 TE numbers last season after Allen was lost for the year. We currently have him ranked at #4 in standard formats for Week 12.
Thursday, November 20, 2014, 5:58pm
Colts TE Dwayne Allen (ankle) missed practice again Thursday. Allen probably isn’t going to play in Week 12, which means Coby Fleener can be dialed up as a top 5 option against the Jaguars.
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