Andrew Luck Fantasy News

Colts Beat: Andrew Luck's arm should mean success for Frank Gore

Tuesday, July 28, 2015, 8:14am

ESPN - [Full Article]

It turns out that 69 percent of Frank Gore's rushing attempts last year with the 49ers were made against a defense that had seven or fewer players in the box. Gore rushed for 833 yards and three touchdowns on 179 attempts when there were seven men in the box.

When it came to facing at least eight men in the box, Gore rushed 76 times for 273 yards and a touchdown last season. Gore's 833 yards against seven or fewer defenders in the box would have been enough to lead the Colts in total rushing in each of the past seven seasons.

As far as the Colts go, Trent Richardson was their leading rusher when facing seven or fewer defenders in the box. He had 134 attempts for 445 yards and a touchdown last season.

The Colts didn't have much success rushing the ball when teams loaded the box against them. Richardson, Ahmad Bradshaw, Andrew Luck, Zurlon Tipton and Daniel “Boom” Herron combined to rush for 153 yards on 59 attempts, which is more than 100 yards less than what Gore rushed for.

The numbers don't lie.

Fantasy Impact:

The writer concludes that Gore should have plenty of success running the ball this season if the offensive line does its job, because the Colts have too many weapons on offense for defenses to load the box to try to slow Gore down. The hope for the Colts is Gore finally gives them a consistent rushing attack to go with Luck and give the team a bit of balance. Gore is listed 12th on our RB list making him a low-end RB1. Based on ADP, he falls right in that "next tier" of RBs - as the first 11 RBs on our list have ADPs in the first or early second rounds, while Gore's ADP is the early third round. He presents a nice value if you can land him in the third.

Colts Beat: WR Phillip Dorsett 'is going to cut into somebody's playing time'

Saturday, June 13, 2015, 1:24am

Indy Sports Central - [Full Article]

When Colts QB Andrew Luck worked out of a three-receiver formation during Wednesday evening’s work at Lucas Oil Stadium, it primarily was T.Y. Hilton, Andre Johnson and Donte Moncrief. But rookie Phillip Dorsett is going to cut into somebody’s playing time this season. That might be Moncrief. And it might be either Coby Fleener or Dwayne Allen as Hamilton uses more three-wide alignments than two-tight end formations.

Fantasy Impact:

The Colts are loaded with talent, but they can't play everyone all the time. We would expect T.Y. Hilton to play a ton, but Andre Johnson, Donte Moncrief, Dorsett and the two tight ends, Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener, could rotate through the other three positions in typical one-running back sets.

Colts WR Andre Johnson 'reinvigorated' by playing with a contender

Friday, May 29, 2015, 1:14pm

Indy Star - [Full Article]

Colts WR Andre Johnson's late-career change of address has reinvigorated his passion for the game. His mom hears it in his voice. His uncle sees it in his body language. HC Chuck Pagano senses it on the practice field.

For Andre Johnson, football is fun again.

Fantasy Impact:

Johnson will likely start opposite T.Y. Hilton. It’s a big upgrade from a quality-of-quarterback standpoint, as he has never played with one as good as Andrew Luck. His targets are likely to take a hit, however. He averaged 9.7 T/G in 2014, while Hilton and Reggie Wayne led the Colts with 8.7 and 7.7 T/G, respectively. So this looks like a case of the targets dropping but the quality of those targets increasing. After finishing in the top 10 (in PPR) in five of his previous six seasons, Johnson finished #28 in 2014. He’s turning 34 this offseason, so it may be foolhardy to expect a huge bounceback season, but low-end WR2 numbers in PPR formats seem reasonable.

Luck: Colts WR Phillip Dorsett is fitting in 'very, very well'

Friday, May 22, 2015, 8:43pm

NFL.com - [Full Article]

As Donte Moncrief pointed out last season, young Colts receivers are at a slight disadvantage compared to other rookies because they must learn the X, Z, slot and the inside (F) spot in Pep Hamilton's offense rather than concentrating on one position.

"I've been all over the place," Phillip Dorsett said. "Basically, playing receiver here, you can't just learn one position. You've got to learn them all."

So far, so good. Dorsett believes he's picking up Hamilton's scheme quickly.

After dialing up a few deep throws to his new weapon, Andrew Luck noted that "it's definitely not too big for him. ... He fits in very, very well."

Fantasy Impact:

Long-term, Dorsett is in a good situation, but he’s going to have a tough time getting on the field as a rookie with T.Y. Hilton and Andre Johnson locked in as the team's top two receivers. Dorsett will have to compete with Moncrief for snaps at WR3. It sounds like he's off to a good start, so the Dorsett/Moncrief competition will be one to watch this summer.

Friday, May 8, 2015, 10:17am

CSN Philly - [Full Article]

Eagles TE Zach Ertz has been impressed in his time working with QB Sam Bradford.

“We’ve been throwing for the past three weeks and I can honestly say I’ve thrown with [Andrew Luck], [Nick Foles] and other guys, and I don’t think I’ve thrown with a guy who has a stronger arm than Sam Bradford,” Ertz said.

“He hasn’t been able to really truly get his full legs underneath him. But the ball still comes out effortlessly, and it’s a lot of fun to run routes with him.”

Colts pick of Phillip Dorsett will have a 'considerable impact' on WR corps

Monday, May 4, 2015, 9:51am

Indy Star - [Full Article]

T.Y. Hilton and Andre Johnson figured to get most of the snaps in the base offensive packages, with Donte Moncrief and tight ends Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen rotating in some fashion.

But the Colts didn't spend a first-round pick on Phillip Dorsett for him to sit on the bench. If he proves ready for playing time, it's likely going to come quickly. And that will have a considerable impact on certain players' snap counts and their number of targets.

Fantasy Impact:

Hilton's snaps figure to be safe, but if the Colts bring Dorsett along quickly, the playing time of both Johnson and Moncrief will be affected. If he plays big snaps, it could have a ripple effect on Fleener and/or Allen, assuming Hamilton calls fewer two-TE sets to get his receivers on the field. The pick is certainly a boost for QB Andrew Luck, but it's hard to see how it helps any of the other Colts receivers.

Andre Johnson says playing for Colts is 'like a breath of fresh air'

Thursday, April 23, 2015, 3:20pm

PFT - [Full Article]

“Being in one place for a long time, the past two years have been pretty frustrating,” Colts WR Andre Johnson said, via ESPN.com. “Just being here is like a breath of fresh air for me.”

Part of that breath of fresh air has to include playing with Andrew Luck after cycling through several quarterbacks while with the Texans. Matt Schaub was the most accomplished player of that group and Johnson showed them all some kindness by putting a unnecessary qualifier on his assessment of Luck’s skills.

“He throws a great ball,” Johnson said. “Probably the best quarterback I’ve ever played with. I’m excited about the opportunity.”

Fantasy Impact:

Johnson will likely start opposite T.Y. Hilton. It’s a big upgrade from a quality-of-quarterback standpoint, as he has never played with one as good as Andrew Luck. His targets are likely to take a hit, however. He averaged 9.7 T/G in 2014, while Hilton and Reggie Wayne led the Colts with 8.7 and 7.7 T/G, respectively. So this looks like a case of the targets dropping but the quality of those targets increasing. After finishing in the top 10 (in PPR) in five of his previous six seasons, Johnson finished #28 in 2014. He’s turning 34 this offseason, so it may be foolhardy to expect a huge bounceback season, but low-end WR2 numbers in PPR formats seem reasonable.

Thursday, April 9, 2015, 6:54pm

Indianapolis Star - [Full Article]

In a decision that likely took all of three seconds to make, the Colts today exercised the fifth-year option of quarterback Andrew Luck's contract.

The expected move comes as mere formality: Luck has no intentions of going anywhere, nor do the Colts intend on letting their young superstar sniff free agency anytime in the near future. What this move does is keep him under contract over the next two seasons, though a new deal – the mammoth payday Luck is certain to get – will likely come after this coming season.

Colts WR Donte Moncrief poised to break out, but playing time is uncertain

Friday, April 3, 2015, 11:15am

Colts.com - [Full Article]

There’s been a lot of wide receiver news this offseason, but all the while, Colts WR Donte Moncrief appears poised for an even bigger second season in the NFL.

“This guy can make plays. He’s big. He’s fast. He can stretch the defense, all those types of things,” said Pagano. “It’s a learning process, and he’s going to be better in year two than he was in year one. He’s going to have more opportunities.”

The question is to what extent will Moncrief’s production increase. There are a lot of options in the passing game for Andrew Luck, not even factoring in tight ends Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener.

Overall, Moncrief played more than 50% of the snaps in just six games (week 8 at Pittsburgh when Reggie Wayne was out & the last five weeks of the season). In those six games, Moncrief accumulated 18 receptions, 301 yards, and all 3 of his TDs.

That’s more than 56% of his catches for the year, about 68% of his yards, and 100% of his touchdowns for the season...in just six games, the only games where Moncrief played a majority of the snaps. The picture is getting clearer as to why the 6’2”, 221 pound burner is expected to get more opportunities in 2015.

Fantasy Impact:

In those six games, Moncrief averaged 3.0 catches for 50 yards and 0.50 touchdowns, but that split includes both huge games (3-134-2 vs. Washington, 7-113-1 vs. Pittsburgh) and disappearing acts (a goose egg vs. Houston, 2-5 vs. Dallas, 3-16 vs. Tennessee), so his production was all over the place. Moncrief's ADP took a two-round hit (6th to 8th) once the Colts signed Andre Johnson, and the signing certainly takes some of the wind out of Moncrief's sails. But both Reggie Wayne (859 snaps) and Hakeem Nicks (576 snaps) are gone, so there may be room for both Johnson and Moncrief to play starter's snaps. The question is how often the Colts go to two-TE sets since Dwayne Allen should be healthy after missing six games last season. When either Allen or Wayne were out, Nicks played 59% of the snaps. When both were in the lineup, Nicks played just 45% of the snaps. Moncrief is still going to be a breakout candidate, but his playing time is up in the air.

Colts will use WR Andre Johnson as a 'big, possession-type guy'

Wednesday, April 1, 2015, 3:08pm

NFL.com - [Full Article]

If Andre Johnson has lost a step -- as Texans owner Bob McNair intimated last week -- the wide receiver's new coach hasn't seen it on game film.

"You don't see a huge drop-off numbers-wise," coach Chuck Pagano said, via ESPN.com's Mike Wells. "Maybe in touchdowns. But you still see a guy who is more than capable of stretching the defense. Certainly somebody who an opponent can't just line up and say, 'Don't worry about Andre Johnson.'"

If defenses still opt to send extra coverage toward T.Y. Hilton, Pagano expects Johnson to take advantage as a "big, possession type guy" on the underneath routes that an injury-ravaged Reggie Wayne couldn't convert in the second half of last season.

"He's a big body guy that can still separate, create separation," Pagano continued. "He's got a big catch radius. But again, the contested catches that you see on tape. It's very difficult to match up."

Fantasy Impact:

Johnson will likely start opposite T.Y. Hilton. It’s a big upgrade from a quality-of-quarterback standpoint, as he has never played with one as good as Andrew Luck. His targets are likely to take a hit, however. He averaged 9.7 T/G in 2014, while Hilton and Reggie Wayne led the Colts with 8.7 and 7.7 T/G, respectively. So this looks like a case of the targets dropping but the quality of those targets increasing. After finishing in the top 10 (in PPR) in five of his previous six seasons, Johnson finished #28 in 2014. He’s turning 34 this offseason, so it may be foolhardy to expect a huge bounceback season, but low-end WR2 numbers in PPR formats seem reasonable.

Colts sign WR Andre Johnson to a three-year deal

Wednesday, March 11, 2015, 4:32pm

Jason La Canfora, Twitter - [Full Article]

Andre Johnson's three-year deal with the Colts is worth $21 million. Gets to face the Texans twice a year.

Fantasy Impact:

Johnson will likely start opposite T.Y. Hilton. It’s a big upgrade from a quality-of-quarterback standpoint, as he has never played with one as good as Andrew Luck. His targets are likely to take a hit, however. He averaged 9.7 T/G in 2014, while Hilton and Reggie Wayne led the Colts with 8.7 and 7.7 T/G, respectively. So this looks like a case of the targets dropping but the quality of those targets increasing. After finishing in the top 10 (in PPR) in five of his previous six seasons, Johnson finished #28 in 2014. He’s turning 34 this offseason, so it may be foolhardy to expect a huge bounceback season, but low-end WR2 numbers in PPR formats seem reasonable. His arrival puts a big dent in Donte Moncrief's prospects.

Friday, December 26, 2014, 6:53pm

Colts WR T.Y. Hilton (hamstring, questionable) took limited practice reps all week and is questionable for Week 17. The team would be wise to sit Hilton another week and let that hamstring rest, but it sounds as if they are considering playing him — at least a bit — in Week 17. Colts.com writer Kevin Bowen said that Hilton hasn’t fully opened it up yet and that would be the “ultimate test, whenever he returns to the field.” We’re expecting Andrew Luck and the other key starters to play a few series to see if they can get their offensive mojo back against a shaky Tennessee defense.

T.Y. Hilton inactive for Colts

Sunday, December 21, 2014, 3:06pm

Colts Inactives
Jalil Brown DB
Gosder Cherilus T
T.Y. Hilton WR
Montori Hughes DT
Sheldon Price CB
Joe Reitz G
Hugh Thornton G

Fantasy Impact:

With Hilton inactive, Donte Moncrief draws the start and is a fantasy WR2 start with Reggie Wayne (PPR) and Hakeem Nicks having Sneaky Start appeal. Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen also get a bump. Andrew Luck's ranking takes a slight hit with Hilton out, but he has enough weapons and should be able to manufacture plenty of fantasy points against Dallas.

Pagano: 'Don't count T.Y. Hilton out'

Saturday, December 20, 2014, 11:27am

Indianapolis Star - [Full Article]

It was pointed out to Colts HC Chuck Pagano that players who don't practice at all during a game week almost never play on Sunday. But Pagano was adamant he's not ruling T.Y. Hilton out.

"For some," Pagano responded. "This guy is pretty special. Don't count him out."

Fantasy Impact:

As we reported yesterday, those around the team consider him doubtful even though his official status is questionable. If he’s out, Donte Moncrief becomes a fantasy WR2 with Reggie Wayne (PPR) and Hakeem Nicks having Sneaky Start appeal. Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen would also get a bump. Andrew Luck’s ranking takes a slight hit with Hilton out, but he has enough weapons and should be able to manufacture plenty of fantasy points against Dallas.

Friday, December 19, 2014, 6:02pm

Colts WR T.Y. Hilton (hamstring, questionable) missed practice all week and is questionable for Week 16. The beat writers are describing Hilton as doubtful, though he’s officially questionable. We currently do not expect him to play, since Indianapolis doesn’t have a whole lot to play for. If he’s out, Donte Moncrief becomes a fantasy WR2 with Reggie Wayne (PPR) and Hakeem Nicks having Sneaky Start appeal. Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen would also get a bump. Andrew Luck’s ranking takes a slight hit with Hilton out, but he has enough weapons and should be able to manufacture plenty of fantasy points against Dallas.

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