The Falcons repeatedly have said they plan to limit RB Michael Turner's carries. They also have said they want to get Jacquizz Rodgers, a second-year pro, more involved in the offense. Rodgers needs to use minicamp, training camp and the preseason to show he’s ready for an increased role. OC Dirk Koetter also will have to be creative in carving out that role.
Even if Turner sees a 10% drop in carries (which is what we're currently projecting) and averages 4.35 yards per carry (reasonable given he rushed for 4.5 YPC last year), he'll rack up a very respectable 1,175 rushing yards. Turner's value comes from his TDs, and we don't think that he'll suddenly fall off the cliff after four consecutive 10+ TD seasons, since the Falcons should continue to move the ball well.