The Jaguars have floated out 12-15 carries a game for RB Toby Gerhart.
Earlier this off-season, offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch said: “The league has turned into one that there wasn’t a one player who averaged 20 carries per game last year – no running back had 320 carries last year. [Philadelphia’s] LeSean McCoy was closest with 314. So you’re not looking for that workhorse back per se that can handle 20-25 carries every game for 16 weeks. It doesn’t happen.”
Since five backs reached 320 carries in 2010, only three backs have done so: Jones-Drew (343 in 2011), Peterson (348 in 2012) and Alfred Morris (335 in 2012).
If the Jaguars are in more games, that will mean more rushing attempts, but look for Gerhart to be in that 12-15 range (with a couple outlier games) and have roles for Jordan Todman and Denard Robinson.
Gerhart has touched the ball 15+ times in seven career games -- that's carries and catches -- and has averaged low-end RB1 numbers (12.6 FP) with that type of workload. The former Heisman candidate will start for the Jaguars and should see a lot of work in that role. Gerhart has fantasy RB2 potential as a lead back.