Streaming Tight Ends: Week 6 Targets

Oct 11, 2016

So you missed out on a top-tier TE, or purposely chose to wait until later rounds with the strategy of streaming the position weekly? You’ve come to the right place. It’s time to assess your lineup and see if the TE you drafted is starter-worthy this week or if you are better off grabbing someone off the waiver wire who has an above average matchup which can hopefully translate to TE1 production.

The main focus of our research when looking at a TE’s matchup is 4for4’s Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) metric. As the season continues to progress and more data is available, aFPA becomes more and more reliable, using rolling 10-week data. Targets and efficiency metrics are also considered when coming up with weekly TE streamers.

The goal in streaming is to roster a player that is going to return TE1 fantasy points and in Week 5, two of my three picks finished the week in the top six at the TE position. Hunter Henry racked up 16.4 PPR points as TE5 and right behind him, Jesse James came in at TE6 with 16.3 PPR points.

After five weeks of football, 4for4 streaming candidates are averaging 9.0 PPR fantasy points per game, which currently ranks as TE18. The optimal TE streamer has a combined 64.4 PPR fantasy points, enough for TE5 on the season thus far. On to Week 6 where are faced with bye weeks, injuries and lack of production. Here are this week’s streamers who will hopefully provide you some relief, as well as the kick in the pants your team may possibly need.

In order to provide advice that you can actually implement, candidates for streaming must be available in at least 40% of Yahoo fantasy leagues.

Charles Clay (BUF) vs. SF

Although the football world scoffed when Buffalo’s offensive coordinator Greg Roman was fired and replaced with Anthony Lynn, the Bills have won three straight games since the switch, scoring 79 points in the process. Charles Clay is currently sitting as the TE19 overall, putting up 12.3 PPR points last week versus the LA Rams.

Clay is second on the Bills offense in targets, with an average of 4.8 per game. It appears that Tyrod Taylor is finally finding his rhythm with his receiving corps and this week’s matchup versus the 49ers sets up nicely for fantasy production. San Francisco is the tenth-worst team when it comes to aFPA, giving up an average of 14.0 PPR points per game to the TE position. With no legitimate TE competition, look for Clay to continue to see his fair share of targets in Week 6.

The Bills TE is currently owned in only 12% of Yahoo leagues, so grab him if you can. Oh, and Buffalo also has two more weeks of TE-friendly matchups in Weeks 7 and 8, versus Miami (12.6 aFPA) and NE (19.6 aFPA).