Ownership Projections for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 2

Ownership Projections for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 2

By Kevin Zatloukal (4for4 Contributor), last updated Sep 16, 2016

Kevin Zatloukal's picture

Kevin is a Ph.D. computer scientist. His doctoral work at MIT was focused on quantum algorithms. During the fantasy offseason, he teaches computer science at the University of Washington, his alma mater.

Follow Kevin on Twitter: @kczat.

Each week, 4for4 will project player ownership on FanDuel and DraftKings. This information will be important when constructing your tournament lineups because including a few productive players with low ownership is a key component to coming out on top in a large contest.

Last week, we leaned heavily on the ownership numbers from contests starting on Thursday at FantasyAces, which worked surprisingly well.

Now that we have some data from Week 1, I'm moving to a combination of statistical models, one which builds on the FantasyAces ownership and another that focuses on rankings, prices and Vegas lines. The accuracy of the models will continue to improve as we get more data each week, but I expect these numbers to be useful right away.

Note: The Bears-Eagles Monday night game is not on the DraftKings main slate and therefore not included in the projections.


Player FD % DK %
Eli Manning 21 15
Matthew Stafford 9 7
Cam Newton 8 12
Derek Carr 8 6
Drew Brees 5 6
Blake Bortles 5 6
Marcus Mariota 4 5
Josh McCown 4 6
Philip Rivers 4 4
Joe Flacco 3 3
Ben Roethlisberger 3 3
Carson Palmer 3 3
Dak Prescott 3 3
Carson Wentz 2  
Kirk Cousins 2 2
Matt Ryan 2 2
Andy Dalton 2 2
Jameis Winston 2 2
Trevor Siemian 1 1
Jay Cutler 1  
Brock Osweiler 1 1
Andrew Luck 1 1
Jimmy Garoppolo 1 1
Alex Smith 1 1
Russell Wilson 1 1
Ryan Tannehill 1 1
Aaron Rodgers 1 1

Eli Manning looks likely to be the highest owned QB, based on the ownership we saw at FantasyAces and the fact that he is playing in the game with the highest projected point total. Matthew Stafford should also see high ownership due to his performance in week one and an above average projected point total for his game. Finally, Cam Newton should be highly owned as the consensus top QB this week.

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Filed Under: w2, 2016

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