Streaming Tight Ends: Week 10 Targets

Nov 08, 2016

Has the TE you drafted not panned out, or did you purposely hang tight until the late rounds with the intention of streaming the position weekly? Well, I’ve got you covered. It’s time to assess your current roster and see if the TE you drafted is starter-worthy this week or if you are better off grabbing someone off the waiver wire with an above average matchup which can hopefully translate to TE1 production.

The main focus of our research when looking at a TE’s matchup is 4for4’s Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) metric. As the season continues to progress and more data is available, aFPA becomes more and more reliable, using rolling 10-week data. Targets and efficiency metrics are also considered when coming up with weekly TE streamers.

The goal in streaming is to roster a player that is going to return TE1 fantasy points and in Week 9, two out of my three recommendations finished among the Top 10 at the TE position. As TE8 on the week, Lance Kendricks scored 16.0 PPR fantasy points, and Cameron Brate finished as the TE9 with 15.3 points.

After nine weeks of football, 4for4 streaming candidates are averaging 9.39 PPR fantasy points per game, which currently ranks as TE18. The optimal TE streamer has a combined 122.6 PPR fantasy points, enough for TE2 on the season thus far. On to Week 10 where we are faced with four teams on bye weeks, more injuries and continued lack of production. Here are this week’s streamers who will hopefully provide you some relief, as well as the kick in the pants your team may possibly need.

In order to provide advice that you can actually implement, candidates for streaming must be available in at least 40% of Yahoo fantasy leagues.

Zach Miller (CHI) @ TB

With Jay Cutler back under center, Zach Miller’s stock rises and so should his fantasy points in Week 10. In Week 8, before the Bears bye, Miller produced 15.8 PPR points in Cutler’s return and was the highest targeted player on his team with 10, two above WR Alshon Jeffrey. Miller also currently leads his team in receptions after nine weeks of NFL play.

This week, Chicago will travel to Tampa Bay to face a Buccaneers team who has allowed three opposing TEs to score in the past two weeks and have given up an aFPA of 13.3 to the TE position. To makes this even rosier for Miller, the Bears remainder of the season schedule features teams that are all in the lower half of the NFL when it comes aFPA to TEs.

Miller is available in 43% of Yahoo leagues, so if he’s sitting on your waiver wire it would behoove you to grab him this week.