MFL10 Early ADP Values
Below you’ll find a value play for each position in MFL10s that was not majorly affected by free agency this past week. A lot of values shifted with free agency, but I’ll highlight a few players that remained values. I will also have a future article highlighting new values that were created with the free agency signings. Throughout the off-season different values will pop up over time, especially after the draft, and we will have articles highlighting these values, as well.
Note – In all MFL10 articles, 2015 stats use Reference Weeks 1-16.
QB – Tyrod Taylor
A big favorite of John Paulsen, Tyrod Taylor can be one of the biggest values at quarterback. Tyrod finished 2015 MFL10s as the number 16 quarterback while missing two games. With those two weeks removed, Tyrod was the number nine quarterback on the year. Currently going between the 15th and 19th QB off the board with his ADP around early 13th round, he can be a great value if he slips a bit in your draft.
Tyrod has the built a floor using the Konami Code (rushing yards from quarterbacks) as he had at least five rushes in all but two of his starts (the two low weeks were three and four rushes). When it comes to touchdowns, Taylor was somewhat boom or bust, but the best ball format propels Tyrod to a high end QB2. Matching Tyrod with a more consistent low end QB1 will make for a nice pairing for your team.
RB – Frank Gore
Frank Gore is being drafted as the 39th running back in the mid to late ninth round, while he finished last year as the 13th running back. A decline in production is expected as the soon to be 34-year-old running back is slowing down, but the drop most likely won’t be as drastic as his ADP indicates. While Gore won’t be a world beater in 2016, he will get back a hopefully healthy Luck in a potent offense. Frank Gore at the end of last season was still averaging around 15 rushes a game and had at least one catch in every game in 2015. As your fourth or fifth running back taken, Gore provides a relatively safe floor who can serve as a solid fill-in during bye weeks or in case of injuries, and can get the occasional touchdown.
WR – Michael Crabtree
Michael Crabtree is a curious case; he was extremely undervalued going into 2015 drafts (ADP of WR58 in the late 12th round) and he finished as the WR17. Moving to a second year quarterback last year with Carr was a risk, but with an average Colin Kaepernick (who threw only 19 TDs), Crabtree was WR44 in 2014.
In 2016 he is currently going as the WR39 in the mid seventh round. With not much changing so far in Oakland he is a big value again. Crabtree has had an up and down career, topping 1,000 yards only once in 2012. In just his first season matched with young quarterback Derek Carr he put up his second best season with 888 yards on 82 catches and 8 touchdowns. Even with a little regression in all three categories, Crabtree has a great shot to outperform his ADP spot.
TE – Antonio Gates
After Antonio Gates suspension for the first four games of the 2015 season he was the tight end seven, hauling in 53 catches for 596 yards and 4 TDs. Antonio is currently going as the TE14, in the early 12th round, moving up slightly after he re-signed in San Diego and Ladarius Green did not. Gates obviously benefited from Keenan Allen’s absence from week nine onward, but Gates is a sure fire hall of fame player for a reason.
The Chargers have numerous weapons in Keenan Allen, Travis Benjamin, Stevie Johnson, Melvin Gordon, and Danny Woodhead; as such Gates will have a hard time gaining yards between the 20’s, but should still be in-line for a lot of red zone targets. He has always been a big red zone threat (did you know he played basketball in college). With his 6’4” 255lb frame, the soon to be 36-year-old is still going strong.