DraftDay Divisional Round Values & Top Plays
Because the range between the most expensive and least expensive quarterback is not as large as it would be in a full slate, and because there are limited options, a clear lineup building strategy stands out to me. If you "punt" the tight end and defense positions with the top players from our DraftDay Value Reports at those positions (Richard Rodgers and New England, respectively), you would still have over $10,000 per player left over, even if you chose the two most expensive quarterbacks. Tight end and defense are both low scoring positions and are very volatile, so you're the least likely to lose significant ground to the field by punting those positions. This punt gives you a lot of leeway to create different stacks with different quarterback pairs.
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QB Andrew Luck @ DEN $14,550
Luck offers the most safety and upside this weekend. In 17 games this season, Luck averaged 2.58 total (passing plus rushing) touchdowns per game, while the Broncos allow 20 percent more total touchdowns to quarterbacks than the league average. Take advantage of Luck’s discounted salary, which has not dipped this low since Week 1.
QB Peyton Manning vs. IND $13,150
Like Luck, Manning is being offered at a discount; his previous season-low salary was $14,900. Vegas line makers project the Broncos to score 30 points against the Colts, and Manning owns a 72 percent market share of Denver’s offensive touchdowns. Even with a more run-heavy attack as of late, Manning is the top value on our DraftDay Value Reports as the second-cheapest quarterback against the Colts’ 27th-ranked QB aFPA defense.