2008 4for4 Forecast Accuracy

If you use a Fantasy source that doesn't carefully track and publish week-to-week and year-to-year results, you could be asking for trouble. As the old golfing adage goes, "If you're not keeping score, you're only practicing."

We certainly won't get them all. But, our process provides you with a decision support tool that's measurable, objective and consistently replicated. The methods are statistically sound and have been validated on all NFL games going back to the mid-90’s. With years of research, experience and results, we’ve gained a high degree of confidence in our process.

Below we share a few highlights, present overall results and provide a link to all the actual and forecast data to allow you to leverage the recap analysis as you see best.

Week 16 2008 certainly had it's share of upsets, just go ask some Eagle and Jet fans. In turn we had a number of surprises in fantasy as well. On the plus side, we nailed a number of things including...

1) Kurt Warner will pass for far fewer yds than normal (actual=276yds below his average)

2) Jerheme Urban 37 receiving yards (actual=36)

3) Jason Campbell would fail to reach 200 passing yards (actual=144)

4) Michael Jenkins 57 receiving yards (actual=61)

5) Derrick Mason 65 receiving yards (actual=66)

6) Joe Flacco would fail to reach 200 passing yards (actual=149)

7) Panthers 338 Total Yards (actual=343)

8) Deangelo Williams 101 Total yards (actual=108)

9) Jonathan Stewart 56 Total yards (actual=57)

10) Matt Forte 78 rush yards (actual=73)

11) Matt Forte 101 Total yards (actual=101). Nailed it.

12) Cedric Benson will easily exceed his 47 yards per game average (actual=171 rush yds)

13) Jamal Lewis 74 Total yards (actual=76)

14) Ken Dorsey would fail to reach 200 passing yards (actual=68)

15) Terrell Owens 61 receiving yards (actual=63)

16) Marion Barber would rush well below his average (actual=67yds below)

17) Tashard Choice 26 rec yards (actual=25)

18) Eddie Royal 61 receiving yards (actual=57)

19) Donald Driver 62 receiving yards (actual=63)

20) Ryan Grant 80 Total yards (actual=81)

21) Matt Schaub 255 passing yards (actual=255)

22) Steve Slaton 109 Total yards (actual=102)

23) Mike Walker will fall well below his average (actual=26yds below his avg.)

24) Ricky Williams 31 rush yards (actual=34)

25) Ronnie Brown 22 rec yards (actual=21)

26) The Saints would generate 400+ Total Yards (actual=532)

27) Drew Brees would amass +300 passing yards (actual=351)

28) Pierre Thomas 28 rec yards (actual=26)

29) Laveranues Coles 57 receiving yards (actual=60)

30) Thomas Jones 96 Total yards (actual=96)

31) Darren Mcfadden 44 rush yards (actual=46)

32) Donovan Mcnabb 239 passing yards (actual=230)

33) Ladainian Tomlinson 21 rec yards (actual=20)

34) Seahawks 288 Total Yards (actual=295)

35) Seneca Wallace 174 passing yards (actual=175)

36) Isaac Bruce 61 receiving yards (actual=61)

37) Marc Bulger 220 passing yards (actual=227)

38) Bucs 348 Total Yards (actual=343)

39) Jeff Garcia 230 passing yards (actual=232)

40) Clinton Portis 73 rush yards (actual=70)

41) Clinton Portis 83 Total yards (actual=81)

Below we track how well our "A-Game", "B-Game" and "C-Game" players did last week. We also track how we're doing for the entire season. In fact, we've been monitoring our weekly Fantasy Impact Rating accuracy for the past 14 years.

Note: In 2002, we've extended the number of C-Game Running Backs and Wide Receivers we track. As a result, the performance for these segments will appear lower than historical norms. This is to be expected.


To see a report with all prior week Yardage and TD actuals and predictions, click here.